MLB same-game parlay: Touted Phillies rookie pitcher Andrew Painter set for MLB launching Tuesday vs. Nationals
Top prospect Andrew Painter makes his MLB launching Tuesday vs. the Nationals, and I have a same-game parlay
There are a lot of fascinating stories around Big league Baseball on a normally hectic Tuesday in terms of guys making their first start of the year on the mound. Future Hall of Famers Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer and Shohei Ohtani all are set for their 2026 pitching debuts, for instance, But I'll focus on Nationals-Phillies because it's the big-league launching of promoted Philadelphia rookie right-hander Andrew Painter. It's a 6:40 ET first pitch on MLB Network.
Painter is the ranked as the No. 26 general possibility in the sport by means of MLB.com and No. 2 on the Phillies behind shortstop Aidan Miller, who is No. 21. Painter starts his profession at +2000 for NL Rookie of the Year. Outfielder Justin Crawford, the No. 51 overall possibility who is striking.333, is +2200. The Phils are trying to get more youthful on the fly as last year they had the second-oldest collection of position gamers (typical age: 30.3) and seventh-oldest pitching personnel (30) in the majors.
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The 6-foot-7, 215-pound Painter was the No. 13 general pick in the 2021 MLB Draft out of a Florida high school with a general grade of 55 on a scale of 20-80 and a fastball graded at 70. He's thought about the leading pitching possibility in the organization considering that future World Series MVP Cole Hamels more than 20 years ago. A few guys from that 2021 draft class already have made a pretty big impact in the majors, such as Washington outfielder James Wood, Cincinnati starting pitcher Andrew Abbott and San Diego better Mason Miller.
Painter controlled Double-A in his first full minor-league season and was named Baseball America's best pitcher in the minors in 2022. But then his profession got sidetracked by Tommy John surgery that kept him off a mound for 2023 and '24. Last year across 2 levels of the minors, he was 5-8 with a 5.26 ERA in 26 starts as his fastball command reoccured, common for guys off TJS and clearly not excellent numbers.
But his fastball averaged 95.6 miles per hour in the minors last year and reached 100.2 mph. The Phillies also had an open hole in the rotation after losing Ranger Suarez to complimentary firm and with ace Zack Wheeler recovering from thoracic outlet decompression surgical treatment. So Painter had a clear opening this spring and took it with a 2.31 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in 4 outings covering 11.2 innings to get the No. 5 spot.
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For this season, FanGraphs projects Painter at 7-8 with a 4.62 ERA in 124.0 innings, which undoubtedly would not suffice to win NL Rookie of the Year. Hamels didn't win that, and the only Phillies pitcher to do so was Jack Sanford in 1957.
Sitting 10 days shy of his 23rd birthday. Painter will be the youngest pitcher to begin a game for the Phillies since Suárez on Aug. 16, 2018. Assuming Crawford plays center field tonight, it will mark the very first time the Phils have an under-age 23 starting pitcher and position gamer in a video game since Aug. 7, 2015 when they were Aaron Nola and Maikel Franco.
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It's expected to be the most extremely expected launching by a homegrown Phillies pitcher considering that Hamels on May 12, 2006, when he took a no-decision in Cincinnati with 5 nothing innings, permitting simply one hit with 7 strikeouts. Hamels was a bit anxious with five strolls, and I'll be playing Painter Over 1.5 walks for the very same factor. His entire household and even high school coach will remain in participation. DraftKings lists him at Over/Under 2.5 made runs, 14.5 outs and 4.5 strikeouts, while the SportsLine Projection Model has him at 5.1 innings, 5.0 strikeouts and 2.7 earned runs.
Painter simply requires to be additional mindful with Washington outfielder Joey Wiemer. He had an MLB-record-tying streak of 10 consecutive plate appearances to open the season snapped Monday however after singling in his very first 2 at-bats. Wiemer is striking a cool MLB-best.800 on the season. Fairly certain that's not sustainable.
Nationals-Phillies DraftKings same-game parlay (+100 )
Phillies ML
Alt Under 11.5
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I do not have a substantial lean on Painter total however think he pitches quite well, and the Phils win even if they aren't striking much at.189. The Nats will open with former minor-league journeyman in 29-year-old PJ Poulin as the opener. Zack Littell likely is the primary behind him. The SportsLine Projection Model has Phillies 5.7-5.4.